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3 March 2016

POWER POLITICS BEHIND INDO-CHINA MARITIME CONFLICT

India has also started forming counter-strategy against the “String of Pearls policy”. India’s counter is based on Chanakya’s principle of ‘The enemy's enemy is our friend’
- Keerthiraj


At the very outset, Asia's two giant neighbors, India and China have maintained peaceful diplomatic relations in pursuit of their economic and trade policies in the global level. This cautious politics played by both the countries made us to feel like everything is right between these two Asian giants. However, political and military strategists of both the countries agreed that the real situation is entirely different than this seemingly plausible politics. Indo-China war of 1962, still haunting both the countries like cinder covered with ash. In addition, growing role and influence of the two Asian giant neighbors in world politics may lead to a clash of interest in Asian continent.

There are already a huge problem of border disputes between India and China. Ranging from Arunachal Pradesh up to Aksai Chin created a tug of war between India and China. In addition to these traditional issues, the latest developments maritime politics is gaining more importance. Rising interests of both the countries in South China Sea and Indian Ocean made these two countries potential competitors in indo-pacific region. China is claiming its authority over South China Sea based on a map, belongs to nationalist China of early 1940s! China is currently busy with installing missiles in the disputed Woody Island. China seized these disputed islands from South Vietnam in 1974. Again, in 1988, the Chinese navy sunk three Vietnamese boats and 70 men killed in a clash over the islands. It is nothing but a clear attempt to show Chinese dominance over the South China Sea.

Vietnam and other small East Asian countries are in direct confrontation with Chinese intensions in South China Sea. In this struggle against China, United States of America and its regional allies such as Australia, Japan, South Korea and Philippines back Vietnam. Strategic interests of United Sates of in the region and the international liberal values ​​like freedom of navigation etc. pulled US into this region. India's foreign policy in favour of free and open navigation in South China Sea, in a way supplements American policy. Naturally China felt annoyed by this posture taken by India. This conflict of interests proved India and China have the potential to be enemies. On the other hand, India's investment in Vietnam’s oil deposits, as well as Indian Navy’s tie-ups with the US, Japan and Vietnam’s naval forces to maintain regional interest will be hard for China to push around. Furthermore, India enjoys a traditional moral influence over this region. Moreover, recent trends suggests, East Asian countries are ready to consider India as a strong regional Big Brother and seeking to reduce the influence of China.

During the war of 1962, China achieved a decisive victory over India. Most of the strategic thinkers opine, even though China was in a decisive position, People’s Liberation Army of China (PLA) never rushed to conquer India, because by that time China did not had a strong navy and Indian Navy enjoyed supreme position in Indian Ocean! So the war was limited to Indo-China borders in North. But, today's situation is much more different than that of 1962. At present China established naval bases and ports at Gwadar in Pakistan, Chittagong of Bangladesh, Hambantota of Sri Lanka and China is in a dominant position to control many other naval bases. In a way China surrounded India with the help of these naval bases. Foreign policy analysts named it as "String of Pearls policy”! If any armed conflict happened between India and China, definitely China will use these naval bases against India and to sting India from different ways. Political analyst Prem Shekhar rightly renamed “String of Pearls policy” as “String of Stings policy”!


India has also started forming counter-strategy against the “String of Pearls policy”. India’s counter is based on Chanakya’s principle of ‘The enemy's enemy is our friend’(Mandala theory of Chanakya) Indian diplomacy is already successful in gaining the confidence of anti-China powers like Japan, Australia, Vietnam and other countries, which have disputes with China. Even though India can’t expect a direct help from US against China, we should remember US interests are also largely anti-China!  In addition to all this, the most advanced indigenous ballistic missile submarine 'INS Arihant' joined the family of Indian Navy. This lethal submarine created horrors in the minds of anti-Indian naval forces! It carries 12 indigenous K15 Sagarika missiles with a range of 435 miles or four nuclear tipped ballistic missiles with a range of 2,200 miles. 'INS Arihant' is really going be a Hantak (destroyer) of Ari (enemy) and the protector of India’s maritime security.





  
 KEERTHIRAJ (keerthiraj886@gmail.com)

·   Currently serving as a Faculty for International Relations and Political Science at Alliance University, Bangalore. 
      (This article was published in Central Chronicle on 2 March 2016)

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